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I've Watched This Happen Four Times

aiindustryopinion

Open LinkedIn and count the people who became AI experts in the last 18 months.

Every consulting firm, every MSP, every freelancer with a ChatGPT account has added "AI" to their services page. Most of them couldn't explain the difference between a fine-tuned model and a prompt template. They don't need to. The word alone is closing deals right now.

I've been in IT for 12 years. I've watched cloud migration, digital transformation, zero trust, and blockchain all follow the same path. A real technology emerges. The market floods with people selling it who don't understand it. Businesses get burned. The people who actually know what they're doing outlast the noise.

AI is real. I'm not a skeptic. I build with it every day. The concierge on this website is a live AI agent I built and operate. I've built open-source tools like ClawTriage for AI-powered support triage, and I contribute to open-source AI platforms. None of this is theoretical for me.

But there are things I see that most people won't say out loud.

Most businesses don't need custom AI

They need someone to set up ChatGPT Team for their staff and train them to use it. That's a $25/user/month solution, not a $50,000 engagement. The number of companies being sold five-figure AI builds when a configured SaaS tool would solve 80% of the problem is staggering.

AI doesn't fix broken fundamentals

If your network goes down twice a month, if your team can't find files on SharePoint, if your backups haven't been tested in a year, AI isn't your problem. I've talked to business owners who want "an AI strategy" but don't have a functioning IT environment. That's wanting a Tesla when your driveway isn't paved.

The people selling AI often haven't built it

They've used it. They've demoed it. They haven't built an agent from scratch, deployed it to production, or debugged it at 1am when it starts hallucinating to customers. There's a wide gap between using AI tools and building AI systems. Most of the market is on the using side while charging building prices.

The hard skill is knowing when NOT to use it

Anyone can tell you what AI can do. The harder skill is knowing when it's the wrong tool. When a simple automation or a better-configured existing system is the right answer. That judgment comes from years of solving problems with whatever actually works, not from a certification course.

Griffin Atlas is an AI and technology company. I build AI and I fix IT. Most companies doing this right now only know one side. I know both.

When someone asks me about AI, my first question is: "What problem are you trying to solve?" If the answer is "I don't know, everyone says we need AI," that's where the real conversation starts. And sometimes the honest answer is "you don't need AI, you need your IT fixed." I'll tell you that. Most vendors won't.

- Roger